Head-to-head
TEST WINS
ITA
5Test wins
WAL
29Test wins
35 Tests: Wales lead 29–5, 1 drawn.
Model win probability
ITA 52%WAL 48%
How it works: the gap between the two TheBreakdown ratings, neutral venue. Our own model built from every Test; see the rankings page for the method.
Test history
Points 563–1,157 in Italy’s favour, first met 12 Oct 1994.
Biggest Italy win
15 Feb 2003: 30–22 (Six Nations 2003)
Biggest Wales win
19 Mar 2016: 14–67 (Six Nations 2016)
Last 10 meetings
- Wales14 Mar 2026 · Six Nations 2026 · Cardiff17–31
- Italy8 Feb 2025 · Six Nations 2025 · Roma22–15
- Italy16 Mar 2024 · Six Nations 2024 · Cardiff24–21
- Wales11 Mar 2023 · Six Nations 2023 · Roma17–29
- Italy19 Mar 2022 · Six Nations 2022 · Cardiff22–21
- Wales13 Mar 2021 · Six Nations 2021 · Roma7–48
- Wales5 Dec 2020 · Autumn Nations Cup 2020 · Llanelli18–38
- Wales1 Feb 2020 · Six Nations 2020 · Cardiff0–42
- Wales9 Feb 2019 · Six Nations 2019 · Roma15–26
- Wales11 Mar 2018 · Six Nations 2018 · Cardiff14–38
Scores show Italy first.
Every meeting, with filters and CSVTests to date; World Cup finals to 2023.